Dolidze vs Hernandez: Betting Odds, Experts’ Picks & Final Prediction

Welcome to your trusted guide to Dolidze vs Hernandez prediction, breakdown of UFC betting advice, current odds with middleweight opportunities, expert picks, fight outcome prediction, and an analysis of the chances for an upset.

Current Betting Odds & Line Movement

Across sportsbooks, Anthony Hernandez is the overwhelming favourite. Moneyline lines consistently place him at around –330 to –370, with Roman Dolidze listed at +265 to +280 depending on the book.

• For example:
   
  • Hernandez: –330
     
  • Dolidze: +270
     
  • Alternate books show –370 vs +265, reinforcing the same view.
     

These moneyline odds imply bettors see Hernandez as the far likelier winner, with Dolidze viewed as the underdog who carries noticeable upset chances in the middleweight division.

Expert Picks & UFC Betting Tips

VegasOdds / Annie Adkins

Annie Adkins predicts Hernandez will win, citing his superior striking volume, accuracy, grappling consistency, and gas tank. She notes Dolidze’s toughness—but doubts he finishes Hernandez, as no one has done so before.

SportsCasting (Paul Kelly)

Offers a detailed UFC prediction: assessing both fighters’ records (Dolidze 15‑3; Hernandez 14‑2‑1NC, with 8 submission wins). Hernandez is expected to dominate via pressure and grappling—a forecast aligned with expert picks UFC trends.

OffshoreSportsbooks

Despite Hernández being the heavy favourite, OSB’s pick goes with Roman Dolidze as the upset, citing his durability and veteran edge. They believe the fight may go the distance and score in Dolidze’s favour if it becomes a high‑level striking exchange.

Tony’s Picks

Reiterates Hernandez’s heavy favourite status but also notes that Dolidze’s experience, physical tools, and resilience present a realistic upset path—especially as both men are well-rounded across grappling and striking.

Fight Outcome Forecast & Upset Analysis

Why Hernandez Favoured?

• Hernandez owns a seven-fight win streak, including a decision win over Brendan Allen, and finishes of Pereira and Kopylov.
   
• Holds elite striking accuracy (over 63%) and elite takedowns/control, breaking UFC middleweight records for takedowns and control time.
   
• Covers opponents with consistent pressure and ground control.
   

Why is Dolidze Still Dangerous?

• Never been finished in his career and is durable enough to survive deep into rounds.
   
• Pockets power and grappling for quick finishes.
   
• Proves he can absorb heavy damage, as shown in his five-round war with Marvin Vettori, out‑landing him on significant strikes.
   
• If the fight stays upright or tight, veteran judge scoring may tilt his way.

Upset Chances

Experts estimate Dolidze has around a 25–30% chance to upset, based on odds of around +270. That means moderate payout potential for skilled bettors who believe in his experience over Hernandez’s stable momentum.

 

Final Prediction: Who Takes It?

All considered, the consensus leans toward Anthony Hernandez, supported by:

• Heavier Odds (≈ −330 line)
   
• Strong internal metrics and finishing percentages
   
• Consistent expert picks favouring his complete MMA skill set
   

However, Dolidze has an entry on several expert upset forecasts, especially when the fight extends into later rounds and becomes a chess match.

Prediction: Hernandez via unanimous decision after controlling the pace and securing takedown dominance in the middle rounds.

For bettors, the value lies in UFC betting tips: taking Hernandez as a favourite for safer play, or considering Dolidze as a high-value underdog if you trust his durability and veteran savvy